Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Report: Trends, Growth and Forecast (2026-2032)
By System (Anti-Aircraft Systems, Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems, Counter-Rocket Artillery and Mortar Systems, Counter-Hypersonic Defense Systems, Integrated Multi-Threat Systems), By Component (Weapon Systems, Fire Control Systems, Radars & Sensors, Launchers, Command & Control, System Integration), By Range (SHORAD, MRAD, LRAD), By End User (Army, Navy, Air Force)
- Aerospace & Defense
- Feb 2026
- VI0876
- 110
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Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Statistics and Insights, 2026
- Market Size Statistics
- Integrated air and missile defense systems in Poland is estimated at USD 570 million in 2025.
- The market size is expected to grow to USD 1.52 billion by 2032.
- Market to register a cagr of around 15.04% during 2026-32.
- System Shares
- Anti-aircraft systems grabbed market share of 40%.
- Competition
- More than 10 companies are actively engaged in producing integrated air and missile defense systems in Poland.
- Top 5 companies acquired around 60% of the market share.
- Thales Group; Diehl Defence; Leonardo S.p.A.; Northrop Grumman; Raytheon (RTX) etc., are few of the top companies.
- Component
- Weapon system grabbed 30% of the market.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Outlook
The market for Poland's Air and Missile Defense Systems is experiencing rapid growth due to Poland's increased military expenditures as well as modernization efforts being undertaken on its eastern borders. For instance, Poland's military spending for 2024 will be approximately $38 billion, equivalent to 4.2% of its GDP, which is the highest of any NATO member country and continues with Poland's government commitment to allocate 4.7% of GDP in 2025, and 4.8% in 2026. As a result of these commitments to military spending, Poland will have a stable financial backing for large-scale procurements of air and missile defense systems for years to come. Current programs such as Wisła, which has achieved Initial Operational Capability, are providing the country's armed forces with enhanced capabilities and are creating a reliable flow of demand for these systems, helping to increase overall market growth. Forecasts indicate the size of Poland's air and missile defense market will be approximately $570 million in 2025, with projections showing total revenues of $1.52 billion by 2032. This represents a compound annual growth rate ( CAGR) of approximately 15.04% during the forecast period.
The largest segment within the market is the anti-aircraft sector at around 40% of overall market share. Poland is primarily focusing its attention on detection and neutralization of medium-range aerial threats. Therefore, end-users are placing a large reliance on these platforms as the foundation of the multilayered defense architecture of NATO. The continuation of purchasing new systems in Phase II as well as Poland's regional modernization efforts will contribute toward the maintenance of the anti-aircraft systems as the mainstay of Poland's air defense initiatives throughout the duration of this forecast period, maintaining a state of readiness, and providing Airspace Security for user forces.
Weapon systems account for the greatest percentage of the entire market (30%). This sector comprises PATRIOT batteries, missile inventories including PAC-3 MSE, and advanced interceptors, all essential to maintaining effective combat capabilities (i.e. combat viability). End-users have recurring demands for replenishing expired inventory, acquiring training munitions, as well as for development of system capabilities. Within this sector, repeated integration with sensor (e.g. radar) and command (e.g. command and control) infrastructure provides end users with the capability to detect and engage at various ranges.
Long-term growth of the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market is supported by continued investment in equipment-intensive programs, as well as through multi-phase procurements and regional collaboration between countries. End-users will benefit, through coordinated modernization efforts and the ability to transfer technology, through expanded capabilities and opportunities for suppliers of systems, integration contractors and service providers. With all of the continued fiscal support and strategic priorities established by the Polish Government; the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market is positioned for significant long-term growth and remains a central part of the overall national and regional defense modernization initiatives.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Growth Driver
Escalating Defense Investments Strengthen Market Growth
In 2024, Poland’s defense budget has reached high level with 4.2% of GDP ($38.0 billion), which is the highest military expenditure among NATO countries. In addition, the government also projects to increase the military budget further to 4.7% in 2025 and 4.8% in 2026 in response to strategic requirements resulting from Poland’s eastern borders. This financial commitment will result in a significant demand for integrated air and missile defense systems within Polish modernization efforts. Developmentally, Poland’s end-users will see improvements in their capability development in particular as a result of continuing programs like Wisła achieving Initial Operational Capability (IOC), which will develop additional capabilities through various phases, ultimately delivering a consistent flow of systems into the Polish armed forces through 2030.
Equipment will account for 54.4% of Poland’s defense budget in 2025, the largest percentage of any NATO member country, demonstrating a long-term commitment to supporting hardware-heavy programs. Ongoing investments in medium-range air defense systems and sensor fusion and command platform technologies support Poland's strategy for modernization. Thus, stable funding allows end-users to plan for acquisition and support over the lifecycle of the system, thereby establishing a predictable demand stream within the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market for the forecast period.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Challenge
Technical Integration Challenges Affect System Deployment
Poland’s integration of new air and missile defense systems into the NATO network presents a variety of technical and logistical challenges. Poland’s implementation of IBCS relies heavily on coordination between several international system vendors which creates conflicting timelines and challenges associated with interoperability.The live-fire tests conducted in 2025 underscored a strong need to make refinements to the Lower Tier Air and Missile Defense Sensor that incorporate Gallium Nitride technology, which will delay the full-scale production until 2028 and generate operational constraints for end users in the near future.
In addition, the multi-phased procurement strategy adds complexity since Phase I batteries need to be integrated prior to Phase II deliveries, which are scheduled for between 2026 and 2029. The heavy dependence on US-supplied systems creates a reliance on their supply chain, which can potentially impact both the schedules for deliveries and the overall readiness level of end users. End users face the added challenge of navigating these bottlenecks of interoperability between training and phases of deployment or system-level interconnectivity; hence, this has significant implications for the dynamics of the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market over the forecast period.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Trend
Collaborative NATO Modernization Shapes Regional Defense Strategy
Poland is a leader in NATO's Eastern Flank and, therefore, the country's current increase in defense spending is a result of their leadership in NATO and the collaborative modernization and interoperability among allies. Poland's 31% increase in defense spending for 2024 was the largest increase among NATO allies and is driven by Polish efforts to fully align its air defense systems with those of its allies; thus, the country serves as a technology integration hub for NATO. Additionally, streamlined protocols and harmonized equipment within Poland's ecosystem benefit all end users in achieving consistent operational readiness and multi-layered defense capability.
In addition to the bilateral cooperation, Poland creates opportunities for joint procurement mechanisms and technology transfers by integrating medium-range Wisła and short-range Narew systems into a standardized multi-layered defense architecture, thereby increasing demand for radar systems, communication nodes, and improved fire control systems within the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market. Furthermore, Poland's initiatives will support not only their national modernization objectives but also improve regional and broader Central and Eastern European defense interoperability, resulting in sustained growth of the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market through coordinated planning within the broad NATO alliance.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Opportunity
Expanding Procurement Windows Encourage Advanced System Deployment
NATO's requirement for all alliance members to achieve 5% of GDP devoted to defense by 2035 creates numerous procurement opportunities for integrated air and missile defense. The Polish government's $9.3 billion Phase II contract for Wisła (2024-2029) for six additional medium-range systems demonstrates Poland's continued investment in medium-range systems. As well as providing a number of advanced technologies to include the Gallium Nitride lower-tier air and missile defense sensors with the capability of providing 360-degree tracking, end users will have access to technology that will help protect them from new types of emerging threats such as hypersonic and ballistic missiles, thus enhancing their overall defensive capability.
Moreover, through infrastructure investments such as the €2 billion contract with Wojskowe Zakłady Łączności Nr 1 for 56 advanced communication nodes (2027-2030), the defense industrial base will expand beyond just primary weapon systems to allow for additional opportunities within the entire ecosystem to include component suppliers and technology modernization contractors. The Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market benefits from both direct sales of equipment, as well as from supporting ancillary services required for long-term modernization aligned with NATO operational standards, as well as network-centric defense frameworks.
Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Segmentation Analysis
By System
- Anti-Aircraft Systems
- Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems
- Counter-Rocket Artillery and Mortar Systems
- Counter-Hypersonic Defense Systems
- Integrated Multi-Threat Systems
The anti-aircraft systems segment holds the largest market share at 40%, reflecting Poland’s emphasis on medium-range aerial threat detection and neutralization through the Wisła PATRIOT/IBCS platform. End users rely on these systems as the foundation of the multi-layered defense architecture, with Initial Operational Capability achieved for the first Wisła battery in 2024. Ongoing Phase II procurements ensure that anti-aircraft systems maintain dominance throughout the forecast period, serving as the primary mechanism for maintaining regional airspace security and operational readiness.
NATO interoperability requirements reinforce the segment’s prevalence, as standardized anti-aircraft platforms are mandated across allied forces. Poland’s leadership in regional modernization ensures that specifications for these systems influence Central and Eastern European procurement standards. This creates sustained demand for component upgrades, training programs, and lifecycle support services, extending the influence of anti-aircraft systems beyond national boundaries and reinforcing their strategic importance within the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market.
By Component
- Weapon Systems
- Fire Control Systems
- Radars & Sensors
- Launchers
- Command & Control
- System Integration
Weapon systems account for 30% of the market, establishing themselves as the primary value contributor in Poland’s integrated air and missile defense ecosystem. This segment encompasses PATRIOT batteries, missile inventories, and advanced interceptor technologies such as PAC-3 MSE, supporting recurring end-user requirements for replenishment, training rounds, and capability enhancements. Phase II battery deployments through 2029 further strengthen the segment’s market position by sustaining operational readiness and combat effectiveness.
Poland’s emphasis on equipment-intensive defense budgeting amplifies weapon systems’ significance, as advanced firepower capabilities remain a national priority. The segment integrates both primary destructive systems and supporting sensor infrastructure, ensuring end users receive comprehensive detection, command, and engagement capabilities. This diversified procurement structure creates long-term revenue streams for suppliers and contractors, reinforcing weapon systems as a central driver of the Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market through the forecast period.
List of Companies Covered in Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market
The companies listed below are highly influential in the Poland integrated air and missile defense systems market, with a significant market share and a strong impact on industry developments.
- Thales Group
- Diehl Defence
- Leonardo S.p.A.
- Northrop Grumman
- Raytheon (RTX)
- Lockheed Martin
- MBDA
- Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa (PGZ)
- Saab AB
- BAE Systems
Market News & Updates
- Northrop Grumman, 2025:
Secured $1.4 billion in IBCS contracts and completed Poland’s first international IBCS live-fire test intercepting air-breathing targets.
- Lockheed Martin, 2025:
Achieved offset deals for PAC-3 MSE with five Polish firms and delivered the first Polish-made PAC-3 MSE launch tubes for integration into global supply chains.
Frequently Asked Questions
Related Report
1. Market Segmentation
1.1. Research Scope
1.2. Research Methodology
1.3. Definitions and Assumptions
2. Executive Summary
3. Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Policies, Regulations, and Standards
4. Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Dynamics
4.1. Growth Factors
4.2. Challenges
4.3. Trends
4.4. Opportunities
5. Poland Integrated Air and Missile Defense Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032F
5.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
5.1.1.By Revenues in USD Million
5.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
5.2.1.By System
5.2.1.1. Anti-Aircraft Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.1.2. Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.1.3. Counter-Rocket Artillery and Mortar Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.1.4. Counter-Hypersonic Defense Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.1.5. Integrated Multi-Threat Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.By Component
5.2.2.1. Weapon Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.2. Fire Control Systems- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.3. Radars & Sensors- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.4. Launchers- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.5. Command & Control- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.2.6. System Integration- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.3.By Range
5.2.3.1. SHORAD- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.3.2. MRAD- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.3.3. LRAD- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.4.By End User
5.2.4.1. Army- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.4.2. Navy- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.4.3. Air Force- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
5.2.5.By Competitors
5.2.5.1. Competition Characteristics
5.2.5.2. Market Share & Analysis
6. Poland Anti-Aircraft Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032
6.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
6.1.1.By Revenues in USD Million
6.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
6.2.1.By Component- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
6.2.2.By Range- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
6.2.3.By End User- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
7. Poland Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032
7.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
7.1.1.By Revenues in USD Million
7.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
7.2.1.By Component- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
7.2.2.By Range- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
7.2.3.By End User- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
8. Poland Counter-Rocket Artillery and Mortar Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032
8.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
8.1.1.By Revenues in USD Million
8.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
8.2.1.By Component- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
8.2.2.By Range- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
8.2.3.By End User- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
9. Poland Counter-Hypersonic Defense Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032
9.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
9.1.1.By Revenues in USD Million
9.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
9.2.1.By Component- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
9.2.2.By Range- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
9.2.3.By End User- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
10. Poland Integrated Multi-Threat Systems Market Statistics, 2022-2032
10.1. Market Size & Growth Outlook
10.1.1. By Revenues in USD Million
10.2. Market Segmentation & Growth Outlook
10.2.1. By Component- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
10.2.2. By Range- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
10.2.3. By End User- Market Insights and Forecast 2022-2032, USD Million
11. Competitive Outlook
11.1. Company Profiles
11.1.1. Northrop Grumman
11.1.1.1. Business Description
11.1.1.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.1.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.1.4. Recent Developments
11.1.1.5. Financial Details
11.1.1.6. Others
11.1.2. Raytheon (RTX)
11.1.2.1. Business Description
11.1.2.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.2.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.2.4. Recent Developments
11.1.2.5. Financial Details
11.1.2.6. Others
11.1.3. Lockheed Martin
11.1.3.1. Business Description
11.1.3.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.3.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.3.4. Recent Developments
11.1.3.5. Financial Details
11.1.3.6. Others
11.1.4. MBDA
11.1.4.1. Business Description
11.1.4.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.4.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.4.4. Recent Developments
11.1.4.5. Financial Details
11.1.4.6. Others
11.1.5. Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa (PGZ)
11.1.5.1. Business Description
11.1.5.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.5.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.5.4. Recent Developments
11.1.5.5. Financial Details
11.1.5.6. Others
11.1.6. Thales Group
11.1.6.1. Business Description
11.1.6.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.6.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.6.4. Recent Developments
11.1.6.5. Financial Details
11.1.6.6. Others
11.1.7. Diehl Defence
11.1.7.1. Business Description
11.1.7.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.7.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.7.4. Recent Developments
11.1.7.5. Financial Details
11.1.7.6. Others
11.1.8. Leonardo S.p.A.
11.1.8.1. Business Description
11.1.8.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.8.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.8.4. Recent Developments
11.1.8.5. Financial Details
11.1.8.6. Others
11.1.9. Saab AB
11.1.9.1. Business Description
11.1.9.2. Product Portfolio
11.1.9.3. Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.9.4. Recent Developments
11.1.9.5. Financial Details
11.1.9.6. Others
11.1.10. BAE Systems
11.1.10.1.Business Description
11.1.10.2.Product Portfolio
11.1.10.3.Collaborations & Alliances
11.1.10.4.Recent Developments
11.1.10.5.Financial Details
11.1.10.6.Others
12. Disclaimer
| Segment | Sub-Segment |
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| By System |
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Research Methodology
This study followed a structured approach comprising four key phases to assess the size and scope of the electro-oxidation market. The process began with thorough secondary research to collect data on the target market, related markets, and broader industry context. These findings, along with preliminary assumptions and estimates, were then validated through extensive primary research involving industry experts from across the value chain. To calculate the overall market size, both top-down and bottom-up methodologies were employed. Finally, market segmentation and data triangulation techniques were applied to refine and validate segment-level estimations.
Secondary Research
The secondary research phase involved gathering data from a wide range of credible and published sources. This step helped in identifying industry trends, defining market segmentation, and understanding the market landscape and value chain.
Sources consulted during this phase included:
- Company annual reports, investor presentations, and press releases
- Industry white papers and certified publications
- Trade directories and market-recognized databases
- Articles from authoritative authors and reputable journals
- Gold and silver standard websites
Secondary research was critical in mapping out the industry's value chain and monetary flow, identifying key market segments, understanding regional variations, and tracking significant industry developments.
Other key sources:
- Financial disclosures
- Industry associations and trade bodies
- News outlets and business magazines
- Academic journals and research studies
- Paid industry databases
Primary Research
To validate secondary data and gain deeper market insights, primary research was conducted with key stakeholders across both the supply and demand sides of the market.
On the demand side, participants included decision-makers and influencers from end-user industries—such as CIOs, CTOs, and CSOs—who provided first-hand perspectives on market needs, product usage, and future expectations.
On the supply side, interviews were conducted with manufacturers, industry associations, and institutional participants to gather insights into current offerings, product pipelines, and market challenges.
Primary interviews provided critical inputs such as:
- Market size and revenue data
- Product and service breakdowns
- Market forecasts
- Regional and application-specific trends
Stakeholders consulted included:
- Leading OEM and solution providers
- Channel and distribution partners
- End users across various applications
- Independent consultants and industry specialists
Market Size Estimation and Data Triangulation
- Identifying Key Market Participants (Secondary Research)
- Goal: To identify the major players or companies in the target market. This typically involves using publicly available data sources such as industry reports, market research publications, and financial statements of companies.
- Tools: Reports from firms like Gartner, Forrester, Euromonitor, Statista, IBISWorld, and others. Public financial statements, news articles, and press releases from top market players.
- Extracting Earnings of Key Market Participants
- Goal: To estimate the earnings generated from the product or service being analyzed. This step helps in understanding the revenue potential of each market player in a specific geography.
- Methods: Earnings data can be gathered from:
- Publicly available financial reports (for listed companies).
- Interviews and primary data sources from professionals, such as Directors, VPs, SVPs, etc. This is especially useful for understanding more nuanced, internal data that isn't publicly disclosed.
- Annual reports and investor presentations of key players.
- Data Collation and Development of a Relevant Data Model
- Goal: To collate inputs from both primary and secondary sources into a structured, data-driven model for market estimation. This model will incorporate key market KPIs and any independent variables relevant to the market.
- Key KPIs: These could include:
- Market size, growth rate, and demand drivers.
- Industry-specific metrics like market share, average revenue per customer (ARPC), or average deal size.
- External variables, such as economic growth rates, inflation rates, or commodity prices, that could affect the market.
- Data Modeling: Based on this data, the market forecasts are developed for the next 5 years. A combination of trend analysis, scenario modeling, and statistical regression might be used to generate projections.
- Scenario Analysis
- Goal: To test different assumptions and validate how sensitive the market is to changes in key variables (e.g., market demand, regulatory changes, technological disruptions).
- Types of Scenarios:
- Base Case: Based on current assumptions and historical data.
- Best-Case Scenario: Assuming favorable market conditions, regulatory environments, and technological advancements.
- Worst-Case Scenario: Accounting for adverse factors, such as economic downturns, stricter regulations, or unexpected disruptions.
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